This page is updated weekly with an updated outlook into the chances of a White Christmas in the UK every year. Each Sunday we aim to predict the chances of snowfall during the month of December, the Christmas Week and Christmas Day itself. Confidence rises the closer we get to the date. Predictions are made on past trends and current weather patterns.

This page launches on September 1st every year and runs until December 24th. This page is updated every Sunday. The prediction is likely to change week by week so be sure to keep checking.

White December = A single flake of confirmed snow on any single day between December 1st to 31st anywhere in the UK.

White Xmas Week = A single flake of confirmed snow on any single day between December 18th to 24th anywhere in the UK.

White Christmas = A single flake of confirmed snow during the 24 hour period (0001 to 2359) on December 25th anywhere in the UK.

 

Confidence in Predictions

September:   December Snowfall: 25%

                    Christmas Week Snowfall: 10%

                    Christmas Day Snowfall: 5%

October:       December Snowfall: 50%

                    Christmas Week Snowfall: 15%

                    Christmas Day Snowfall: 10%

November:    December Snowfall: 75+%

                    Christmas Week Snowfall: 40%

                    Christmas Day Snowfall: 20%

December:    December Snowfall: 100%

                    Christmas Week Snowfall: 75-100%

                    Christmas Day Snowfall: 35-100%

 

0%-20% = Very Low Confidence

21%-40% = Low Confidence

41%-60% = Medium Confidence

61%-85% = High Confidence

86%-99% = Very High Confidence

 

Will this Christmas be a white one where you live?

December Snowfall: Update 1: Thursday 1st September 2011

This section will launch again on Thursday 1st September 2011

 

Christmas Week Snowfall: Update 1: Thursday 1st September 2011

This section will launch again on Thursday 1st September 2011

 

 Christmas Day Snowfall: Update 1: Thursday 1st September 2011

This section will launch again on Thursday 1st September 2011

 

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